Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Spaling 49.9% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 21-15 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 78.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 52.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 67.4%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Koivu
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
15
(36 meetings)
21
15
Koivu
Spaling
Last 10: Koivu 9-1 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
12
4
Koivu
Spaling
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
9
Koivu
Spaling
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
7
2
Koivu
Spaling
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
50.5% (2,263)
+3.5%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
43.4% (53)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
48.0% (498)
+0.9%
On power play, Koivu has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
Koivu
Spaling
Home
55.8% (6,577)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Koivu
Spaling
P1
53.5%
49.8%
P2
54.6%
48.3%
P3
54.0%
52.0%
OT
56.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 9, 2013 | OT | 02:48 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 3, 2012 | OT | 02:54 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 3, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 12:31 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 28, 2011 | OT | 03:33 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |