Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Koivu wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 55.8% vs Spaling 51.2% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 81.4%
Defensive zone
Spaling 57.0%
Neutral zone
Koivu 61.0%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Koivu
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Koivu
Spaling
Last 5: Koivu 4-1 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Spaling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Spaling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Spaling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,247)
52.5% (461)
+4.1%
Power Play
61.6% (344)
66.7% (9)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (167)
46.6% (131)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,142).
Koivu shoots left. Spaling is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Koivu
Spaling
Home
58.1% (850)
57.2% (297)
Away
54.3% (908)
45.7% (304)
By Period
Koivu
Spaling
P1
55.3%
54.2%
P2
57.2%
46.6%
P3
55.1%
54.3%
OT
77.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |