Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Koivu wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Backstrom 51.3% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 16-5 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 54.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 87.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 71.0%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Koivu
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
5
(21 meetings)
16
5
Koivu
Backstrom
Last 10: Koivu 7-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
1
Koivu
Backstrom
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
2
Koivu
Backstrom
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
8
2
Koivu
Backstrom
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,219)
52.5% (1,108)
+2.8%
Power Play
63.5% (200)
52.4% (164)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (280)
27.9% (61)
+21.0%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Koivu is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Koivu shoots left. Backstrom is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Koivu
Backstrom
Home
55.6% (846)
52.5% (642)
Away
54.9% (853)
50.4% (691)
By Period
Koivu
Backstrom
P1
57.4%
50.2%
P2
55.5%
51.4%
P3
52.6%
53.0%
OT
62.5%
41.2%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 15:43 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 09:29 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 15:48 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |