Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 48.2% vs Acciari 52.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Acciari 51.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 85.8%
Neutral zone
Acciari 59.4%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Koivu
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Koivu
Acciari
Last 8: Koivu 5-3 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
3
Koivu
Acciari
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
0
Koivu
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (63)
53.1% (375)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
50.5% (111)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Koivu is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Koivu shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Koivu
Acciari
Home
46.6% (58)
49.4% (243)
Away
41.7% (12)
55.1% (276)
By Period
Koivu
Acciari
P1
70.0%
50.9%
P2
27.6%
54.7%
P3
47.6%
51.7%
Final 5 min
35.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
45.7%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 12:56 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |