Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Koivu wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.5% vs Bergeron 58.1% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 69.9%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 90.1%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 84.7%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 80.5%
19.5%
80.5%
Koivu
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Koivu
Bergeron
Last 10: Koivu 8-2 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
2
Koivu
Bergeron
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
1
Koivu
Bergeron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Koivu
Bergeron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (948)
59.4% (1,274)
-5.4%
Power Play
58.7% (225)
57.5% (193)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (138)
55.5% (265)
-1.2%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Koivu is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Koivu shoots left. Bergeron is 59.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,119).
Home / Away
Koivu
Bergeron
Home
59.8% (669)
61.9% (837)
Away
49.7% (642)
55.5% (895)
By Period
Koivu
Bergeron
P1
53.4%
60.1%
P2
56.2%
59.2%
P3
56.3%
56.6%
OT
36.7%
57.7%
Final 5 min
56.4%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.8%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 18:50 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 2 | 14:48 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |