Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Marleau 50.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 33-20 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 70.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 71.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 70.9%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Koivu
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
20
(53 meetings)
33
20
Koivu
Marleau
Last 10: Koivu 6-4 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
11
5
Koivu
Marleau
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
10
6
Koivu
Marleau
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
12
9
Koivu
Marleau
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
50.3% (2,656)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
55.7% (332)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
50.7% (452)
-1.8%
On even strength, Koivu has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Marleau is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Home / Away
Koivu
Marleau
Home
55.8% (6,577)
53.3% (1,735)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
48.5% (1,715)
By Period
Koivu
Marleau
P1
53.5%
52.2%
P2
54.6%
49.5%
P3
54.0%
50.7%
OT
56.5%
55.1%
Final 5 min
53.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |