Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Koivu wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Marleau 48.5% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 88.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 78.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 78.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Koivu
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Koivu
Marleau
Last 10: Koivu 7-3 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
1
Koivu
Marleau
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
1
Koivu
Marleau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Marleau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,268)
47.6% (288)
+7.7%
Power Play
57.6% (321)
52.9% (34)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (202)
47.1% (34)
+3.9%
On even strength, Koivu has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Koivu is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Koivu shoots left. Marleau is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Koivu
Marleau
Home
58.3% (906)
52.8% (125)
Away
52.1% (885)
45.5% (231)
By Period
Koivu
Marleau
P1
53.0%
49.6%
P2
55.6%
50.0%
P3
56.6%
46.5%
OT
64.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |