Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 52.2%). Look for Marleau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 51.3% vs Marleau 51.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 60.2%
Defensive zone
Koivu 67.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 55.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Koivu
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Koivu
Marleau
Last 6: Koivu 3-3 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Marleau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Marleau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
2
Koivu
Marleau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (1,073)
53.8% (251)
-3.1%
Power Play
65.3% (216)
47.1% (34)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (286)
37.5% (16)
+5.9%
On power play, Koivu has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Koivu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Koivu shoots left. Marleau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
Koivu
Marleau
Home
50.9% (752)
60.4% (111)
Away
51.8% (823)
47.4% (190)
By Period
Koivu
Marleau
P1
51.9%
54.7%
P2
50.3%
51.5%
P3
51.4%
49.2%
OT
70.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.4%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |