Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 71 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Stastny 55.1% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 115-109 in 224 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 55.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 51.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 53.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Koivu
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
115
-
109
(224 meetings)
115
109
Koivu
Stastny
Last 10: Koivu 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
43
36
Koivu
Stastny
79 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
28
43
Koivu
Stastny
71 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
44
30
Koivu
Stastny
74 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
54.6% (10,616)
-0.6%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
59.1% (1,994)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Koivu
Stastny
Home
55.8% (6,577)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Koivu
Stastny
P1
53.5%
56.3%
P2
54.6%
55.4%
P3
54.0%
53.5%
OT
56.5%
62.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 05:54 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 05:50 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 6, 2018 | OT | 03:44 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 6, 2018 | OT | 01:09 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 13:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |