Scouting Report
Scott Gomez holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 53.6% vs Gomez 54.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gomez 51.9%
Defensive zone
Gomez 58.3%
Neutral zone
Gomez 53.5%
Result
Scott Gomez favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Koivu
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Koivu
Gomez
Last 6: Koivu 4-2 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
1
Koivu
Gomez
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Gomez
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (739)
56.7% (261)
-3.1%
Power Play
56.2% (137)
52.4% (63)
+3.8%
On power play, Koivu has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Koivu shoots left. Gomez is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Koivu
Gomez
Home
56.0% (495)
58.4% (178)
Away
51.9% (476)
52.7% (146)
By Period
Koivu
Gomez
P1
54.9%
53.4%
P2
53.5%
51.9%
P3
53.6%
60.4%
OT
52.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.0%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 09:35 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 05:19 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |