Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Couturier 48.5% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 60.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 86.2%
Neutral zone
Couturier 76.0%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Koivu
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Koivu
Couturier
Last 8: Koivu 2-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Koivu
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
4
Koivu
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,268)
47.4% (1,052)
+7.9%
Power Play
57.6% (321)
54.7% (95)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (202)
50.3% (183)
+0.7%
On even strength, Koivu has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Koivu is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Koivu shoots left. Couturier is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Koivu
Couturier
Home
58.3% (906)
48.3% (658)
Away
52.1% (885)
48.4% (672)
By Period
Koivu
Couturier
P1
53.0%
50.1%
P2
55.6%
45.5%
P3
56.6%
49.9%
OT
64.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 10:06 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |