Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 28 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 61-42 in 103 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 78.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 68.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 74.3%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Koivu
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
61
-
42
(103 meetings)
61
42
Koivu
Horcoff
Last 10: Koivu 5-5 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
18
14
Koivu
Horcoff
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
18
10
Koivu
Horcoff
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
25
18
Koivu
Horcoff
43 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
50.6% (3,133)
+3.4%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
51.4% (555)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
43.0% (567)
+5.9%
On power play, Koivu has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Koivu
Horcoff
Home
55.8% (6,577)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Koivu
Horcoff
P1
53.5%
48.2%
P2
54.6%
49.5%
P3
54.0%
50.9%
OT
56.5%
51.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 05:43 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 15:59 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 03:04 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 18:50 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |