Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Koivu wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 53.6% vs Horcoff 49.2% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 80.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 50.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 73.2%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Koivu
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Koivu
Horcoff
Last 7: Koivu 6-1 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
1
Koivu
Horcoff
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (739)
46.9% (318)
+6.7%
Power Play
56.2% (137)
64.9% (94)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (95)
39.8% (88)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Koivu shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Koivu
Horcoff
Home
56.0% (495)
46.7% (289)
Away
51.9% (476)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Koivu
Horcoff
P1
54.9%
49.4%
P2
53.5%
47.0%
P3
53.6%
50.9%
OT
52.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.0%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 16:26 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |