Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.5% vs Horcoff 50.1% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 63.7%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 64.3%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 60.9%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Koivu
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Koivu
Horcoff
Last 5: Koivu 1-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Koivu
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Koivu
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Koivu
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (948)
52.7% (347)
+1.3%
Power Play
58.7% (225)
40.0% (20)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (138)
36.0% (50)
+18.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Koivu is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Koivu shoots left. Horcoff is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Koivu
Horcoff
Home
59.8% (669)
57.0% (165)
Away
49.7% (642)
45.6% (252)
By Period
Koivu
Horcoff
P1
53.4%
46.8%
P2
56.2%
50.6%
P3
56.3%
50.9%
OT
36.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.8%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |