Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Gionta 42.3% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 92.2%
Defensive zone
Koivu 51.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 81.2%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Koivu
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Koivu
Gionta
Last 7: Koivu 5-2 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
0
Koivu
Gionta
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
2
Koivu
Gionta
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Gionta
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,268)
40.3% (303)
+15.0%
Power Play
57.6% (321)
66.7% (6)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (202)
38.8% (85)
+12.2%
On even strength, Koivu has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Koivu is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Koivu shoots left. Gionta is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Koivu
Gionta
Home
58.3% (906)
42.8% (166)
Away
52.1% (885)
38.6% (228)
By Period
Koivu
Gionta
P1
53.0%
41.7%
P2
55.6%
42.3%
P3
56.6%
37.8%
OT
64.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |