Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Ott 55.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 68.6%
Defensive zone
Ott 62.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 51.8%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Koivu
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
14
(27 meetings)
13
14
Koivu
Ott
Last 10: Koivu 3-7 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
7
2
Koivu
Ott
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Koivu
Ott
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
6
Koivu
Ott
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
57.2% (2,802)
-3.2%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
55.4% (567)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
49.9% (853)
-1.0%
On even strength, Ott has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Koivu
Ott
Home
55.8% (6,577)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Koivu
Ott
P1
53.5%
56.7%
P2
54.6%
53.9%
P3
54.0%
55.7%
OT
56.5%
60.8%
Final 5 min
53.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 14, 2013 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 14, 2013 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 14, 2013 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 14, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 14, 2013 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |