Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.6% vs Ott 56.1% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 63.6%
Defensive zone
Ott 91.7%
Neutral zone
Ott 67.2%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 79.2%
20.8%
79.2%
Koivu
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Koivu
Ott
Last 9: Koivu 8-1 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
0
Koivu
Ott
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
1
Koivu
Ott
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (842)
58.8% (720)
-7.1%
Power Play
55.2% (248)
52.5% (179)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (178)
53.2% (235)
+2.4%
On even strength, Ott has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Koivu is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (944).
Koivu shoots left. Ott is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Koivu
Ott
Home
54.1% (621)
59.3% (562)
Away
51.6% (672)
54.0% (576)
By Period
Koivu
Ott
P1
52.0%
57.3%
P2
55.5%
54.1%
P3
51.2%
58.4%
OT
45.5%
57.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |