Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 53.9%). Look for Ott on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Koivu wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.5% vs Ott 53.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 66.6%
Defensive zone
Ott 66.6%
Neutral zone
Ott 54.1%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Koivu
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Koivu
Ott
Last 10: Koivu 3-7 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Ott
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
2
4
Koivu
Ott
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
6
Koivu
Ott
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (948)
55.6% (583)
-1.6%
Power Play
58.7% (225)
57.0% (128)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (138)
47.1% (206)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Koivu is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Koivu shoots left. Ott is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Koivu
Ott
Home
59.8% (669)
54.1% (512)
Away
49.7% (642)
53.6% (405)
By Period
Koivu
Ott
P1
53.4%
53.3%
P2
56.2%
52.8%
P3
56.3%
56.1%
OT
36.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.8%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2014 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 14, 2013 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 14, 2013 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 14, 2013 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 14, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 14, 2013 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |