Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 61.2% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 55.8% vs Oshie 51.9% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 55.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 84.7%
Neutral zone
Koivu 70.3%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Koivu
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Koivu
Oshie
Last 9: Koivu 8-1 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
1
Koivu
Oshie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
0
Koivu
Oshie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,247)
51.4% (35)
+5.2%
Power Play
61.6% (344)
53.5% (170)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (167)
50.9% (57)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Oshie has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Koivu is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (616).
Koivu shoots left. Oshie is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Koivu
Oshie
Home
58.1% (850)
59.4% (138)
Away
54.3% (908)
45.2% (124)
By Period
Koivu
Oshie
P1
55.3%
53.4%
P2
57.2%
48.9%
P3
55.1%
55.1%
OT
77.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |