Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Oshie 48.9% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 83.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 87.5%
Neutral zone
Oshie 54.3%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Koivu
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Koivu
Oshie
Last 6: Koivu 3-3 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
3
Koivu
Oshie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Oshie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,219)
41.4% (58)
+13.9%
Power Play
63.5% (200)
53.0% (117)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (280)
20.0% (5)
+28.9%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Koivu is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Koivu shoots left. Oshie is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Koivu
Oshie
Home
55.6% (846)
57.6% (85)
Away
54.9% (853)
40.0% (95)
By Period
Koivu
Oshie
P1
57.4%
37.7%
P2
55.5%
52.4%
P3
52.6%
54.8%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |