Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.8% vs Hertl 54.3% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 51.2%
Defensive zone
Koivu 67.3%
Neutral zone
Koivu 60.2%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Koivu
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Koivu
Hertl
Last 6: Koivu 2-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Koivu
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Koivu
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (592)
54.7% (570)
-0.8%
Power Play
54.2% (96)
55.2% (143)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (123)
54.5% (77)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Koivu is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Koivu shoots left. Hertl is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Koivu
Hertl
Home
52.8% (386)
56.2% (379)
Away
53.4% (425)
53.5% (411)
By Period
Koivu
Hertl
P1
51.7%
53.4%
P2
54.8%
52.7%
P3
53.3%
57.6%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |