Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.3%). Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 29 meetings). Koivu wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Zajac 54.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 39-36 in 75 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 62.6%
Defensive zone
Koivu 50.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 53.5%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Koivu
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
39
(75 meetings)
36
39
Koivu
Zajac
Last 10: Koivu 4-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
13
16
Koivu
Zajac
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
10
9
Koivu
Zajac
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
13
14
Koivu
Zajac
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
54.4% (9,056)
-0.4%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
59.1% (1,498)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
48.6% (1,599)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Koivu shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Koivu
Zajac
Home
55.8% (6,577)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Koivu
Zajac
P1
53.5%
53.8%
P2
54.6%
55.6%
P3
54.0%
53.6%
OT
56.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2019 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 3 | 05:03 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 2 | 18:49 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 18:43 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |