Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 54.6%). Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Koivu wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.5% vs Zajac 54.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 64.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 57.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 56.0%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Koivu
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Koivu
Zajac
Last 8: Koivu 2-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
5
Koivu
Zajac
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (948)
55.7% (1,020)
-1.7%
Power Play
58.7% (225)
52.7% (201)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (138)
50.3% (173)
+4.0%
On power play, Koivu has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Koivu is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Koivu shoots left. Zajac is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Koivu
Zajac
Home
59.8% (669)
54.9% (685)
Away
49.7% (642)
54.3% (709)
By Period
Koivu
Zajac
P1
53.4%
54.6%
P2
56.2%
55.5%
P3
56.3%
54.2%
OT
36.7%
48.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.8%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |