Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Zajac 53.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 63.9%
Defensive zone
Zajac 65.7%
Neutral zone
Zajac 59.2%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Koivu
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Koivu
Zajac
Last 10: Koivu 8-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
0
Koivu
Zajac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
3
Koivu
Zajac
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,268)
53.6% (932)
+1.7%
Power Play
57.6% (321)
55.0% (129)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (202)
50.4% (139)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Koivu is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Koivu shoots left. Zajac is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (786).
Home / Away
Koivu
Zajac
Home
58.3% (906)
55.8% (661)
Away
52.1% (885)
50.5% (539)
By Period
Koivu
Zajac
P1
53.0%
55.7%
P2
55.6%
50.0%
P3
56.6%
54.1%
OT
64.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
54.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |