Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Koivu wins 61.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 55.8% vs Zajac 51.4% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 79.5%
Defensive zone
Zajac 54.0%
Neutral zone
Koivu 60.6%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Koivu
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Koivu
Zajac
Last 10: Koivu 7-3 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
0
Koivu
Zajac
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Koivu
Zajac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
3
Koivu
Zajac
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,247)
51.8% (986)
+4.8%
Power Play
61.6% (344)
61.1% (185)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (167)
42.1% (216)
-0.8%
On even strength, Koivu has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Koivu is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (616).
Koivu shoots left. Zajac is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Home / Away
Koivu
Zajac
Home
58.1% (850)
54.0% (672)
Away
54.3% (908)
49.2% (715)
By Period
Koivu
Zajac
P1
55.3%
53.1%
P2
57.2%
52.2%
P3
55.1%
50.1%
OT
77.3%
38.5%
Final 5 min
57.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 11:45 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |