Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Smith 48.7% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 83.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 56.7%
Neutral zone
Koivu 79.3%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Koivu
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Koivu
Smith
Last 9: Koivu 6-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
1
Koivu
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Koivu
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
49.0% (769)
+5.0%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
63.6% (22)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
42.4% (118)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Smith is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Koivu
Smith
Home
55.8% (6,577)
52.4% (490)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Koivu
Smith
P1
53.5%
46.9%
P2
54.6%
51.2%
P3
54.0%
47.7%
OT
56.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 09:33 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 00:04 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |