Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Koivu wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Smith 51.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 80.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 55.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 59.6%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Koivu
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Koivu
Smith
Last 9: Koivu 6-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
1
Koivu
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Koivu
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,268)
53.7% (449)
+1.6%
Power Play
57.6% (321)
80.0% (10)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (202)
43.1% (102)
+7.9%
On power play, Smith has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Koivu is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Koivu shoots left. Smith is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Koivu
Smith
Home
58.3% (906)
55.0% (280)
Away
52.1% (885)
49.5% (281)
By Period
Koivu
Smith
P1
53.0%
52.3%
P2
55.6%
52.1%
P3
56.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 09:33 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 00:04 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 04:20 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |