Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.5% vs Brouwer 50.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 76.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 59.3%
Neutral zone
Koivu 74.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Koivu
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Koivu
Brouwer
Last 7: Koivu 6-1 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Brouwer
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
0
Koivu
Brouwer
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Brouwer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (948)
50.8% (122)
+3.2%
Power Play
58.7% (225)
52.3% (193)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (138)
49.6% (121)
+4.7%
On power play, Koivu has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Koivu is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Koivu shoots left. Brouwer is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Home / Away
Koivu
Brouwer
Home
59.8% (669)
56.6% (221)
Away
49.7% (642)
45.6% (215)
By Period
Koivu
Brouwer
P1
53.4%
54.6%
P2
56.2%
48.0%
P3
56.3%
50.3%
OT
36.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.8%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |