Scouting Report
Troy Brouwer holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Brouwer 55.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 51.9%
Defensive zone
Brouwer 52.2%
Neutral zone
Brouwer 50.7%
Result
Troy Brouwer favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Koivu
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Koivu
Brouwer
Last 7: Koivu 5-2 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Brouwer
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Brouwer
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Brouwer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,268)
56.1% (171)
-0.8%
Power Play
57.6% (321)
60.0% (170)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (202)
53.0% (100)
-2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Koivu is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Koivu shoots left. Brouwer is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Koivu
Brouwer
Home
58.3% (906)
61.8% (225)
Away
52.1% (885)
51.9% (216)
By Period
Koivu
Brouwer
P1
53.0%
57.8%
P2
55.6%
49.0%
P3
56.6%
65.2%
OT
64.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |