Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings). Koivu wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Johnson 49.7% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 19-16 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 57.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 66.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 65.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Koivu
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
16
(35 meetings)
19
16
Koivu
Johnson
Last 10: Koivu 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Koivu
Johnson
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
7
5
Koivu
Johnson
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
4
Koivu
Johnson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
49.8% (5,396)
+4.2%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
54.6% (885)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
42.3% (707)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Koivu shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Koivu
Johnson
Home
55.8% (6,577)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Koivu
Johnson
P1
53.5%
50.1%
P2
54.6%
50.6%
P3
54.0%
48.4%
OT
56.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 16:29 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |