Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 56.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Johnson 51.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 56.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 73.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 70.6%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Koivu
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Koivu
Johnson
Last 5: Koivu 4-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,219)
51.2% (825)
+4.1%
Power Play
63.5% (200)
56.9% (160)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (280)
51.1% (137)
-2.2%
On power play, Koivu has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Koivu is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Koivu shoots left. Johnson is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Koivu
Johnson
Home
55.6% (846)
56.9% (583)
Away
54.9% (853)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Koivu
Johnson
P1
57.4%
55.1%
P2
55.5%
53.0%
P3
52.6%
48.8%
OT
62.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |