Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Filppula on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Koivu wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Filppula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.5% vs Filppula 52.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Filppula 62.5%
Defensive zone
Filppula 60.6%
Neutral zone
Filppula 62.4%
Result
Valtteri Filppula favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Koivu
Filppula
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Koivu
Filppula
Last 9: Koivu 2-7 Filppula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Filppula
1
2
Koivu
Filppula
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Filppula
0
1
Koivu
Filppula
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Filppula
1
4
Koivu
Filppula
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Filppula
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (948)
51.1% (1,006)
+2.9%
Power Play
58.7% (225)
57.7% (215)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (138)
52.4% (105)
+1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Filppula shoots left. Koivu is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Koivu shoots left. Filppula is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Koivu
Filppula
Home
59.8% (669)
56.0% (696)
Away
49.7% (642)
48.1% (630)
By Period
Koivu
Filppula
P1
53.4%
52.1%
P2
56.2%
52.2%
P3
56.3%
52.2%
OT
36.7%
58.3%
Final 5 min
56.4%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.8%
Filppula
52.0%▲
45.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Valtteri Filppula |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Valtteri Filppula |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Valtteri Filppula |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Valtteri Filppula |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 06:20 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |