Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 32 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Fiddler 52.1% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Fiddler leads 46-46 in 92 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 74.4%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 68.7%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 51.0%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Koivu
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
46
-
46
(92 meetings)
46
46
Koivu
Fiddler
Last 10: Koivu 5-5 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
22
4
Koivu
Fiddler
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
5
27
Koivu
Fiddler
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
19
15
Koivu
Fiddler
34 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
53.7% (4,899)
+0.3%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
50.0% (154)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
46.9% (1,479)
+2.0%
On power play, Koivu has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Fiddler is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,362).
Home / Away
Koivu
Fiddler
Home
55.8% (6,577)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Koivu
Fiddler
P1
53.5%
52.1%
P2
54.6%
52.6%
P3
54.0%
52.0%
OT
56.5%
46.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2017 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 03:41 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |