Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Koivu wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Fiddler 51.7% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Fiddler leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 60.9%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 77.6%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 61.0%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Koivu
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
14
(22 meetings)
8
14
Koivu
Fiddler
Last 10: Koivu 4-6 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Koivu
Fiddler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
8
Koivu
Fiddler
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
4
Koivu
Fiddler
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,268)
51.8% (819)
+3.5%
Power Play
57.6% (321)
37.9% (29)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (202)
53.8% (249)
-2.8%
On power play, Koivu has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Koivu is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Koivu shoots left. Fiddler is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Koivu
Fiddler
Home
58.3% (906)
51.1% (546)
Away
52.1% (885)
52.6% (551)
By Period
Koivu
Fiddler
P1
53.0%
51.3%
P2
55.6%
53.7%
P3
56.6%
51.3%
OT
64.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
54.7%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 05:10 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |