Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Tikhonov shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Tikhonov 44.0% (+15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 86.7%
Defensive zone
Koivu 95.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 92.7%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 94.9%
94.9%
5.1%
Koivu
Tikhonov
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Koivu
Tikhonov
Last 5: Koivu 5-0 Tikhonov
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
0
Koivu
Tikhonov
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Tikhonov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Tikhonov
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
39.8% (98)
+14.2%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
33.3% (18)
+25.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tikhonov shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Koivu shoots left. Tikhonov is 36.9% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Home / Away
Koivu
Tikhonov
Home
55.8% (6,577)
40.0% (85)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
35.5% (31)
By Period
Koivu
Tikhonov
P1
53.5%
46.2%
P2
54.6%
34.3%
P3
54.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Tikhonov
34.0%▼
38.8%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 04:56 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |