Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 61.2% vs right-shot opponents — Tikhonov shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 55.8% vs Tikhonov 44.0% (+17.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 89.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 91.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 88.8%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 91.3%
91.3%
8.7%
Koivu
Tikhonov
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Koivu
Tikhonov
Last 5: Koivu 5-0 Tikhonov
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
0
Koivu
Tikhonov
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Tikhonov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Tikhonov
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,247)
39.8% (98)
+16.8%
Power Play
61.6% (344)
33.3% (18)
+28.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tikhonov shoots right. Koivu is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (616).
Koivu shoots left. Tikhonov is 36.9% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Home / Away
Koivu
Tikhonov
Home
58.1% (850)
40.0% (85)
Away
54.3% (908)
35.5% (31)
By Period
Koivu
Tikhonov
P1
55.3%
46.2%
P2
57.2%
34.3%
P3
55.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
57.4%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Tikhonov
34.0%▼
38.8%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 04:56 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |