Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 61.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 55.8% vs Trocheck 49.5% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 80.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 52.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 73.8%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Koivu
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Koivu
Trocheck
Last 8: Koivu 6-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
0
Koivu
Trocheck
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Koivu
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,247)
49.1% (948)
+7.5%
Power Play
61.6% (344)
56.0% (84)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (167)
47.3% (74)
-6.0%
On even strength, Koivu has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Koivu is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (616).
Koivu shoots left. Trocheck is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Koivu
Trocheck
Home
58.1% (850)
49.5% (527)
Away
54.3% (908)
49.4% (579)
By Period
Koivu
Trocheck
P1
55.3%
49.5%
P2
57.2%
48.5%
P3
55.1%
50.3%
OT
77.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
57.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |