Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 51.3% vs Trocheck 53.8% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 80.7%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 75.7%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 77.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Koivu
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Koivu
Trocheck
Last 10: Koivu 7-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
6
3
Koivu
Trocheck
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
2
Koivu
Trocheck
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (1,073)
53.9% (1,270)
-3.2%
Power Play
65.3% (216)
62.2% (164)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (286)
46.2% (143)
-2.8%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Koivu is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (594).
Koivu shoots left. Trocheck is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,013).
Home / Away
Koivu
Trocheck
Home
50.9% (752)
54.3% (818)
Away
51.8% (823)
53.9% (759)
By Period
Koivu
Trocheck
P1
51.9%
52.8%
P2
50.3%
56.6%
P3
51.4%
52.7%
OT
70.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 06:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 1 | 10:26 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |