Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Koivu wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Karlsson 48.1% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 61.7%
Defensive zone
Koivu 59.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 62.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Koivu
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Koivu
Karlsson
Last 5: Koivu 3-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
0
Koivu
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Koivu
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,268)
49.4% (164)
+5.9%
Power Play
57.6% (321)
37.5% (32)
+20.1%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (202)
0.0% (1)
+51.0%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Koivu is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Koivu shoots left. Karlsson is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Koivu
Karlsson
Home
58.3% (906)
49.1% (112)
Away
52.1% (885)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Koivu
Karlsson
P1
53.0%
41.2%
P2
55.6%
44.8%
P3
56.6%
57.4%
OT
64.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2014 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |