Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Gourde 48.2% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 70.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 56.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 62.6%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Koivu
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Koivu
Gourde
Last 10: Koivu 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
2
Koivu
Gourde
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Koivu
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
48.4% (4,954)
+5.6%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
57.4% (376)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
39.9% (554)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Koivu
Gourde
Home
55.8% (6,577)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Koivu
Gourde
P1
53.5%
49.9%
P2
54.6%
47.4%
P3
54.0%
47.5%
OT
56.5%
37.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 08:04 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |