Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 51.3% vs Gourde 44.8% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 54.2%
Defensive zone
Koivu 82.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 70.0%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Koivu
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Koivu
Gourde
Last 6: Koivu 4-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (1,073)
40.9% (279)
+9.8%
Power Play
65.3% (216)
58.3% (60)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (286)
36.0% (25)
+7.4%
On even strength, Koivu has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Koivu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Koivu shoots left. Gourde is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Koivu
Gourde
Home
50.9% (752)
45.5% (189)
Away
51.8% (823)
41.1% (175)
By Period
Koivu
Gourde
P1
51.9%
42.4%
P2
50.3%
48.3%
P3
51.4%
40.3%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |