Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Koivu wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Girgensons 44.5% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 94.7%
Defensive zone
Koivu 62.7%
Neutral zone
Koivu 89.5%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 85.4%
85.4%
14.6%
Koivu
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
4
(17 meetings)
13
4
Koivu
Girgensons
Last 10: Koivu 8-2 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
6
1
Koivu
Girgensons
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
0
Koivu
Girgensons
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Koivu
Girgensons
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,268)
43.8% (762)
+11.5%
Power Play
57.6% (321)
45.9% (122)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (202)
43.1% (116)
+7.9%
On power play, Koivu has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Koivu is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Koivu shoots left. Girgensons is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (628).
Home / Away
Koivu
Girgensons
Home
58.3% (906)
44.5% (551)
Away
52.1% (885)
43.4% (449)
By Period
Koivu
Girgensons
P1
53.0%
41.3%
P2
55.6%
43.0%
P3
56.6%
47.0%
OT
64.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 15:57 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |