Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.1% vs 46.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erat 46.8% vs Lucic 46.6% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Lucic 52.1%
Defensive zone
Erat 51.9%
Neutral zone
Erat 50.0%
Result
Milan Lucic favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Erat
Lucic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erat
Lucic
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (321)
44.4% (401)
+2.3%
Power Play
45.5% (101)
49.5% (198)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (29)
33.3% (3)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Erat has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lucic shoots left. Erat is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Erat shoots left. Lucic is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Erat
Lucic
Home
53.2% (252)
48.3% (317)
Away
37.2% (199)
43.5% (285)
By Period
Erat
Lucic
P1
43.4%
41.3%
P2
45.8%
47.9%
P3
50.0%
50.3%
OT
16.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
46.0%