Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lucic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lucic 48.1% vs Johansen 52.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 56.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 91.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 78.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Lucic
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lucic
Johansen
Last 5: Lucic 4-1 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lucic
3
0
Lucic
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lucic
1
0
Lucic
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Lucic
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lucic
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
34.6% (52)
52.5% (1,002)
-17.9%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
56.1% (198)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
49.5% (111)
+50.5%
On penalty kill, Lucic has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Lucic is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Lucic shoots left. Johansen is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Lucic
Johansen
Home
46.9% (64)
54.7% (632)
Away
46.3% (67)
51.0% (679)
By Period
Lucic
Johansen
P1
41.0%
54.3%
P2
48.9%
53.5%
P3
47.7%
50.9%
OT
66.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
38.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
46.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2013 | OT | 03:31 | Defensive | Milan Lucic |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |