Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lucic 46.6% vs Plekanec 50.1% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Lucic 92.3%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 51.9%
Neutral zone
Lucic 75.0%
Result
Milan Lucic favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Lucic
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Lucic
Plekanec
Last 10: Lucic 3-7 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lucic
4
1
Lucic
Plekanec
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
8
Lucic
Plekanec
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
2
Lucic
Plekanec
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lucic
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (401)
50.8% (8,558)
-6.4%
Power Play
49.5% (198)
51.3% (1,151)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
46.0% (1,924)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Plekanec has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Lucic is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (337).
Lucic shoots left. Plekanec is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,049).
Home / Away
Lucic
Plekanec
Home
48.3% (317)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
43.5% (285)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Lucic
Plekanec
P1
41.3%
52.5%
P2
47.9%
48.9%
P3
50.3%
49.0%
OT
40.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
42.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
46.0%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |