Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lucic wins 33.3% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lucic 46.1% vs Plekanec 50.0% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lucic 69.8%
Defensive zone
Lucic 58.7%
Neutral zone
Lucic 68.4%
Result
Milan Lucic favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Lucic
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lucic
Plekanec
Last 5: Lucic 1-4 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lucic
1
0
Lucic
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
3
Lucic
Plekanec
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Lucic
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lucic
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
36.4% (44)
51.0% (1,016)
-14.6%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
49.0% (206)
+1.0%
On even strength, Plekanec has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Lucic is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Lucic shoots left. Plekanec is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (945).
Home / Away
Lucic
Plekanec
Home
36.7% (30)
53.3% (836)
Away
41.7% (24)
46.2% (741)
By Period
Lucic
Plekanec
P1
23.5%
54.4%
P2
45.5%
44.5%
P3
46.7%
50.4%
Final 5 min
38.5%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
38.9%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |