Aleksander Barkov vs Mitchell Stephens
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stephens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Stephens 49.3% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephens 53.5%
Defensive zone
Stephens 84.3%
Neutral zone
Stephens 68.0%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Barkov
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Barkov
Stephens
Last 7: Barkov 2-5 Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Stephens
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
1
Barkov
Stephens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
4
Barkov
Stephens
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
50.8% (199)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
42.6% (54)
+5.7%
On even strength, Barkov has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Barkov is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Barkov shoots left. Stephens is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Barkov
Stephens
Home
59.2% (557)
53.3% (122)
Away
55.1% (695)
45.0% (131)
By Period
Barkov
Stephens
P1
56.7%
52.6%
P2
54.8%
48.0%
P3
59.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
59.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 06:35 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |