Derick Brassard vs Mitchell Stephens
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 54.0% vs Stephens 52.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 57.2%
Defensive zone
Stephens 72.3%
Neutral zone
Stephens 57.6%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Brassard
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Brassard
Stephens
Last 6: Brassard 2-4 Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
1
Brassard
Stephens
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
2
Brassard
Stephens
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Stephens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (334)
54.4% (296)
+1.0%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
28.6% (7)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
46.2% (52)
+28.8%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Brassard is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Brassard shoots left. Stephens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Brassard
Stephens
Home
52.3% (174)
54.8% (177)
Away
57.9% (183)
50.3% (179)
By Period
Brassard
Stephens
P1
47.1%
55.4%
P2
60.6%
50.4%
P3
57.4%
52.6%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
55.2%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 17:30 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 14:15 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |