Lucas Wallmark vs Mitchell Stephens
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephens on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Wallmark wins 37.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stephens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 44.7% vs Stephens 53.3% (-18.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wallmark 71.2%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 72.7%
Neutral zone
Wallmark 72.5%
Result
Lucas Wallmark favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Wallmark
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Wallmark
Stephens
Last 7: Wallmark 1-6 Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
2
Wallmark
Stephens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
1
Wallmark
Stephens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
3
Wallmark
Stephens
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (142)
58.1% (43)
-17.3%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
100.0% (1)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
66.7% (6)
-31.0%
On power play, Stephens has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Wallmark is 37.1% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Wallmark shoots left. Stephens is 73.0% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Stephens
Home
45.8% (48)
60.0% (15)
Away
39.5% (114)
60.0% (35)
By Period
Wallmark
Stephens
P1
35.8%
68.8%
P2
43.9%
52.9%
P3
44.2%
58.8%
Final 5 min
40.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
41.4%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 1 | 02:20 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |