Mitchell Stephens vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 52.4% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 63.3%
Defensive zone
Stephens 68.1%
Neutral zone
Stephens 52.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Stephens
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Stephens
Karlsson
Last 8: Stephens 2-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
5
Stephens
Karlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephens
2
1
Stephens
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (795)
51.8% (7,849)
+2.7%
Power Play
21.4% (14)
54.8% (1,048)
-33.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
44.2% (1,109)
+3.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Stephens is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (709).
Stephens shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Stephens
Karlsson
Home
54.1% (471)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
51.3% (517)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Stephens
Karlsson
P1
53.6%
50.3%
P2
50.7%
51.3%
P3
54.3%
52.4%
OT
0.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 18:00 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 10:56 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | William Karlsson |